Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.1#57
Expected Predictive Rating+7.2#71
Pace63.7#264
Improvement+4.7#35

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#54
Improvement+5.1#17

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#93
Improvement-0.4#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round27.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 204   Cornell W 79-58 89%     1 - 0 +15.6 +9.0 +7.4
  Nov 18, 2011 88   @ Cleveland St. L 64-67 47%     1 - 1 +5.9 -0.4 +6.1
  Nov 21, 2011 233   @ Siena W 64-58 79%     2 - 1 +5.5 -3.5 +9.4
  Nov 27, 2011 80   @ Virginia Tech L 64-73 44%     2 - 2 +0.5 +2.9 -3.3
  Dec 01, 2011 193   Arkansas St. L 52-58 89%     2 - 3 -11.1 -17.7 +5.8
  Dec 03, 2011 103   @ Buffalo W 66-60 50%     3 - 3 +14.1 -1.2 +15.5
  Dec 07, 2011 77   @ Illinois L 43-48 43%     3 - 4 +5.0 -15.5 +19.6
  Dec 10, 2011 328   Canisius W 81-62 98%     4 - 4 +2.8 +4.6 -0.7
  Dec 18, 2011 135   Loyola Maryland W 76-66 81%     5 - 4 +8.9 +4.1 +5.0
  Dec 20, 2011 43   North Carolina St. L 65-67 46%     5 - 5 +7.0 +1.6 +5.2
  Dec 23, 2011 312   St. Francis (PA) W 82-58 97%     6 - 5 +9.6 +5.9 +4.8
  Dec 30, 2011 244   @ Niagara W 72-70 81%     7 - 5 +0.6 -6.8 +7.4
  Jan 04, 2012 167   George Washington W 66-56 86%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +6.5 -6.1 +12.9
  Jan 07, 2012 114   @ Duquesne L 52-66 54%     8 - 6 1 - 1 -6.9 -17.7 +10.7
  Jan 11, 2012 65   Dayton W 81-73 65%     9 - 6 2 - 1 +12.0 +14.0 -1.3
  Jan 14, 2012 61   @ Xavier L 64-77 38%     9 - 7 2 - 2 -1.9 -3.6 +2.0
  Jan 21, 2012 265   Fordham W 95-51 94%     10 - 7 3 - 2 +34.6 +16.9 +16.4
  Jan 25, 2012 215   @ Rhode Island W 72-66 OT 76%     11 - 7 4 - 2 +6.6 -6.5 +12.7
  Jan 28, 2012 111   Richmond W 62-47 76%     12 - 7 5 - 2 +15.7 -2.5 +20.7
  Feb 01, 2012 20   @ Saint Louis L 62-86 21%     12 - 8 5 - 3 -7.5 +2.9 -12.0
  Feb 08, 2012 78   @ Massachusetts L 67-76 43%     12 - 9 5 - 4 +0.8 -3.0 +4.2
  Feb 11, 2012 114   Duquesne W 69-48 77%     13 - 9 6 - 4 +21.3 -0.2 +23.0
  Feb 15, 2012 35   Temple L 70-76 53%     13 - 10 6 - 5 +1.2 -1.1 +2.3
  Feb 18, 2012 215   Rhode Island W 81-61 90%     14 - 10 7 - 5 +13.8 +11.1 +4.6
  Feb 22, 2012 265   @ Fordham W 89-63 84%     15 - 10 8 - 5 +23.4 +21.7 +3.0
  Feb 25, 2012 151   @ Charlotte W 72-56 63%     16 - 10 9 - 5 +20.7 +11.7 +10.7
  Feb 29, 2012 62   Saint Joseph's W 98-93 2OT 65%     17 - 10 10 - 5 +9.1 +15.2 -6.6
  Mar 03, 2012 53   @ La Salle L 61-71 36%     17 - 11 10 - 6 +1.6 -4.4 +5.8
  Mar 09, 2012 62   Saint Joseph's W 71-68 52%     18 - 11 +10.5 +11.6 -0.5
  Mar 10, 2012 78   Massachusetts W 84-80 56%     19 - 11 +10.4 +16.1 -5.7
  Mar 11, 2012 61   Xavier W 67-56 51%     20 - 11 +18.7 +4.5 +15.1
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.4 0.2 7.0 47.3 44.6 0.9
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.4 0.2 7.0 47.3 44.6 0.9